February 27, 2023

‘India better be prepared for the 16.9 million people who will live with dementia in 2036’

The AIIMS-USC study shows dementia is much higher in rural areas, possibly because of 
low levels of education and awareness. The uneven distribution of cases across states and 
sub-populations means control protocols require different levels of local planning and
support, says Dr AB Dey, AIIMS

 

A countrywide study conducted to gauge the prevalence of dementia has found that the

condition is prevalent among 7.4 per cent of seniors, doubling earlier than expected, with

older estimates having predicted a surge by 2030. It is higher among women, almost double

than that of men. If the current rate of prevalence holds, then the number of people with

dementia is projected to reach 16.9 million in 2036 as India’s older Indian population

increases.

 

The study was conducted by researchers from the University of Southern California (USC)

and AIIMS-Delhi, in collaboration with 18 other institutes, including Mumbai’s JJ Hospital.

The findings were published in “Alzheimer’s & Dementia,” the journal of the Alzheimer’s

Association. Dr AB Dey, professor and former HOD of Geriatric Medicine, AIIMS, who was

part of the study, says the research will now be conducted every two-and-a-half years and

will go on till 2040 in phases.

 

What was the study all about?

It’s a GoI project and was started in 2009 under the national programme for the healthcare of

the elderly. This was a part of the main study and the second phase will begin soon. We

analysed 32,000 subjects from the 60+ population and looked at their brain ageing more

intensely to understand the extent of dementia in India.

 

How did the study diagnose dementia in the sample population?

Dementia diagnosis is questionnaire-based and there is no gold standard like you do for

diabetes or Covid and categorise the result as negative or positive. It’s a complex diagnostic

process of mapping or examining various parts of brain function, speech capability, thinking

capability and memory. Then the questionnaire makes a composite score and concludes that a

person may have dementia or not.

 

As per the Longitudinal Ageing Study in India (LASI), a sample of adults over and above 60

were recruited and were subjected to a rich battery of neuropsychological tests and an

informant interview between 2018 and 2020. The study was conducted state-wise, using the

2011 census listing directory of districts, sub-districts (tehsils), which were the primary

sampling units. Researchers conducted door-to-door household interviews. For large states, a

larger sample size proportionate to the population was considered. In addition, we

oversampled individuals aged 65 and older to achieve a better representation of this group.

 

What were the causes behind dementia?

The number one cause of dementia is Alzheimer’s Disease but it was difficult to segregate it

from vascular dementia or frontotemporal dementia as the study was largely based on field

work. It doesn’t matter really because from a socio economic and care-giving point of view,

all of them would require a similar disease management protocol.

Different levels of education led to differences in various dementia risk factors across states,

such as under-nutrition, uncontrolled cardiovascular disease and exposure to indoor air

pollution. If prevalence stays the same, the number of people with dementia is projected to

reach 16.9 million in 2036 due to an increase in our older population.

 

What were the other important findings?

The cross-state variation in dementia prevalence was found to be considerable, with the

lowest prevalence in Delhi at 4.5 per cent and the highest in Jammu and Kashmir at 11 per

cent. According to the research, there were wide variations across gender and geographical

locations.

 

What are the differences between rural and urban areas?

The study showed dementia is much higher in rural areas, possibly because of low levels of

education and awareness. And since the burden of dementia cases is unevenly distributed

across states and sub-populations, control protocols might, therefore, require different levels

of local planning and support.

 

What was the reason behind the higher prevalence rate in Jammu and Kashmir? Could posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) be the cause?

The Sher-e-Kashmir Institute of Medical Sciences was gathering samples but we are yet to

find out the reasons behind the higher prevalence rate in Jammu and Kashmir. We will find

answers during phase two of our study. But what I can tell you is that dementia is correlated

with hypertension, hearing loss, visual impairment and nutritional deficiencies.

 

Why Dr Dey?

Are high-fibre carbs key for reversing diabetes?

Dr A B Dey is Professor and Head, Department of Geriatric Medicine, former Dean

(Research), Nodal Officer, National Centre for Ageing, AIIMS. He has authored many

research papers and has been instrumental in establishing Geriatric Medicine as a subspeciality

in India. His findings have been the basis and evidence for policy formulation and

action. He has had a role in the development of the National Programme for Health Care of

older people. He has been Chairman of the committee to develop ICE material for the

National Programme for Health Care of the Elderly, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare,

GoI.


https://indianexpress.com/article/health-wellness/dementia-17-million-people-2036-indiahealth-8463856/

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