Increase in 1 microgram per cubic metre in PM 2.5 associated with an 8 pc rise in COVID-19
death rate: Study
Air pollution may hinder India’s fight against COVID-19, say scientists
A pollution and Covid mascot launched in New Delhi. Tribune photo: Mukesh Aggarwal
The causal link between air pollution and COVID-19 cases is yet to be established conclusively
but long-term exposure will certainly make people more vulnerable to lung infections, warn
scientists as the skies over large parts of north India, including Delhi, turn smoky and the air
quality deteriorates rapidly.
Their concerns come amid several global studies pointing to the possible connection between
higher air pollution levels and increased COVID-19 cases and deaths.
A study by researchers at Harvard University in the US in September showed that an increase
of only 1 microgram per cubic metre in PM 2.5 is associated with an 8 per cent increase in the
COVID-19 death rate.
“Given the current limited literature, the surge of PM2.5 level in Delhi may be associated with
increased COVID-19 cases... Although the literature is relatively sparse at this stage,” Xiao
Wu, corresponding author of the Harvard study, told PTI.
He said the relationship between long-term air pollution and COVID-19 has been documented
in many studies, which indicate that adverse health impacts of air pollution can make people
prone to the infection or exacerbate the severity of COVID-19 symptoms once infected.
This is interesting, especially considering COVID-19 causes viral pneumonia and acute
respiratory distress syndrome, and severe inflammation to the heart and circulatory system, the
scientist said.
Another study by the University of Cambridge in April found an association between living in
an area of England with high levels of air pollution and the severity of COVID-19, caused by
the SARS-CoV-2 virus.
“Based on our findings, I would expect to see an association between higher levels of air
pollution in India and COVID-19 in the winter, similar with what we found in England,” said
Marco Travaglio, corresponding author of the Cambridge study.
“If the levels of air pollution have been consistently above the legal limits for several months
or years before this coming winter, I would expect to see a relationship between those levels
and COVID-19 burden across different parts of India in November and thereafter,” Travaglio
told PTI.
He noted that a key component of PM2.5 toxicity is its composition which may vary
considerably between countries.
“Nonetheless, the WHO legal limits for PM2.5 are currently set at 10 μg/m³ (microgrammes
per cubic metre) annual mean. Levels beyond 500 μg/m³ are extremely high and may have
considerable impact on people’s health in relation to COVID-19 but also beyond it,” said
Travalgo.
The level of small particulate matter (PM2.5) levels in Delhi have averaged around 180-340
μg/m³ in the past few weeks while that of bigger pollution particles (PM10) has hovered
between 120 and 450 during the time.
Long-term exposure to chronically high PM2.5 levels weakens the ability of the lungs to fend
off infections, therefore making people more susceptible to COVID-19, the scientists said.
In addition, studies from Italy have shown that traces of SARS-CoV-2 RNA, the genetic
material of the virus, can be found on pollution particles, meaning that increased air pollution
may act as a vehicle to increase COVID-19 transmission in highly polluted places.
The air quality in north India is expected to deteriorate further from November to February due
to several factors such as stubble burning, festive fireworks and low wind speed conditions
which lead to an uptick in vehicular and industrial pollution being trapped in the lower
atmosphere.
“In view of this evidence, high levels of PM2.5 in Delhi may lead to a higher number of
COVID-19 cases,” Travalgo added.
Studies in humans have shown that toxic air particles can penetrate airways and cause
widespread infiltration of lung cells.
This chronic state of inflammation may induce or aggravate health conditions such as asthma,
chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, cardiovascular diseases and diabetes, experts said.
Because these conditions have been widely found to be associated with increased risk of
contracting COVID-19 or incurring into critical illness, it is likely that air pollution acts as a
risk factor to increase the susceptibility to COVID-19.
India has the world’s second-highest caseload of over 7.9 million and the third-highest death
toll with more than 115,000 from the novel coronavirus.
The National Centre for Disease Control (NCDC) has warned that Delhi is likely to report
around 15,000 COVID-19 cases daily in winter because of the prevalence of respiratory
illnesses during this season that worsen the symptoms of the disease. On Sunday, the national
capital recorded 4,136 fresh COVID-19 cases, the highest single-day spike in 38 days.
D J Christopher, head of pulmonary medicine at the Christian Medical College in Tamil Nadu,
noted that the increased severe form of COVID-19 among patients would lead to increased
ICU hospitalisations, thereby increasing the burden of the healthcare system.
“The lung is the gateway to the body and takes the first impact from inhaled pollutants. It causes
an inflammatory response which damages the lung and makes it more susceptible to
infections,” Christopher told PTI.
‘Let us hope the numbers are not so high. There is a chance of hospital beds getting filled and
shortage of ICU beds,” he added.
Prof Rajneesh Bhardwaj concurred, saying there is growing scientific evidence that airborne
respiratory droplets carrying the virus travel and contaminate the air after an infected person
coughs. He added that pollutionmay help this airborne droplet to remain suspended for a longer
time and may increase the spread of COVID-19.
“PM2.5 are finer particles which remain suspended in the air for a long time and hence droplet
or viral particles can cling on to these particles to increase the risk. They may increase the
number of cases as pollution increases especiallywith large PM2.5 levels,” Bhardwaj, associate
professor at the Indian Institute of Technology-Bombay, told PTI.
He said the government should make contingent plans to deal with an expected large number
of cases and warned that any healthcare system can be overwhelmed by a larger number of
cases.
According to pulmonologist Anurag Agarwal, however, the relation between air pollution and
COVID-19 cases is very complex. While in general high air pollution increases risk of
respiratory infections, it is difficult to say much more, he said.
“Studies finding more infections and deaths in areas with high pollution have tried to
statistically adjust for higher population density in polluted cities. Such adjusted correlations
are interesting but do not represent proof,” Agarwal, director of the CSIR Institute of Genomics
and Integrative Biology, told PTI.
“Nevertheless, it is clear that air pollution is bad for health and COVID-19 is more dangerous
in unhealthy people. So the message is clear - we must take steps to reduce air pollution for
many reasons,” he added.
Source : https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/health/air-pollution-may-hinder-indias-fight-againstcovid-
19-say-scientists-161422
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